These issue concepts are aimed at finding the lost creative
edge for
applying progressive values in a changed world. They're experimental. The far right has
been effective in denigrating the core liberal values of our liberal democracy,
thirty years of exploiting what you might call 'hate button' issues.
We need new visions
for the long haul, new tools to use in the quest for building a free, sustainable and tolerant society
that is a good steward of our many cultures and the earth.
id @ synapse9.com
PF Henshaw NY NY
29 values for change
28 Fix Spam
27 Exit Tunnel Vision 26 Use Natural Election
Districts
25 Copy Natural Systems
24 Using the people
23 Using the Pros
22 Faith Ed
21 Marketing Security
20 Costs of Science 19 The Courts
18 Fighting Evil
17 Shrinking 16 Design 15 Heroes 14 Simple Truth 13 Where We're Headed
12 Who
represents Iraq?
11 Real Creation 10 Ideally 9 Keep killing? 8
Honestly 7 Clear about
values
6 What's a Government to do? 5 Civil
Unions
4 Navigate Global Change 3 Reading
Iraqis
2 What's the "Global Test"? 1 Pick the
Winning Game
29 - Find forces of change, Apply deep values
Iraq
may be better modeled as a society with an auto-immune disease that we don't
understand and helped to stimulate.
Nuclear
power is a problem of design, we haven't known to ask for plants that don't
require evacuations that everyone can now see are impossible.
The
correct response to global warming is to immediately begin a serious strategy
development investigation to explore all the options, say spend two years and a
billion dollars to find out what our options are. Now we're just letting
things slide, planning on ever more drastic action in case what seems to be
happening actually is.
The
source of government interference in our lives is the growing
interference between the choices made with business and private wealth. We
need to talk about when and how to stop having escalating impacts on a fragile
earth. The far more jarring realization will come from
continuing to ignore the problem.
28 - Fix Spam
If people with internet
access wish our attention let us set our own rate for it. I'd love
having an ISP that only delivered paid mail, letting the earnings accumulate in
an account I could use to pay for other internet services. I'd guess
that setting a acceptance charge of a tenth of a cent for senders not on my free
list would block nearly all the worst stuff and anyone who actually had
something to say to you would be glad to pay that for having a more useful
service. I occasionally send emails to 20 or 30 people. Some
might have me on their free list and some not. If it cost me two or
three cents, or even two or three cents apiece, I don't think I'd mind.
I'd just set the delivery charge I'd accept for the particular message and talk
with whoever wanted to listen at that rate! A penny for
your thoughts? 6/24/06
27 - Exit Tunnel Vision
There are perhaps many
reliable detours to kick you out of tunnel vision, but one that is both reliable
and usefully subversive is to locate the valid basis of other people's
complaints and respond to them better than they do. I does have
drawbacks, in addition to being strongly counter intuitive. It often
means looking squarely at ugly reflections of yourself coming from the images
other people have of you. The disconnect between our inside views
(our image of who the good guys are, etc.) and the views of others looking at us
from the outside (using different values and unaware of the inside issues) is
structural... and a major source of error and deception. But I think
it's a reliable systems principle that every complaint has some valid
basis, and if you can find it you can then gain to whole new ways of response.
02/02/06
26 -
Use Natural Election Districts
People have a clear idea of
their own neighborhood and community boundaries, and of their affinity with
their neighbors on the other side of every neighborhood boundary.
Election district boundaries never match those natural ones, though. It
always seems there's some politician rigging things up for their personal
advantage. We could change that. Why not let people, assisted by
computers, draw their own election district boundaries. It seems a
fairly simple matter to simply overlay the maps drawn by every voter of where
they think their immediate and adjacent neighborhoods are, and weight their
desire to be politically connected. What you would get is clustering that
could be used to identify how people would prefer to associate at any chosen
scale of organization. 10/10/05
There are other, perhaps more important, design issues for
redistricting. My friend Steve Max pointed out the benefit of using
statistics to create swing districts. That way the voters would not
get treated as the property of one local machine or another and you'd have a
much better chance of politicians entering into a vigorous and informative local
debate. Now, wouldn't that be great!
25 -
Copy Natural Systems
Our best source of design
ideas has always been nature. We need a Manhattan Project or Moon
Shot style effort to find out what nature does with things that grow
exponentially and adapt that knowledge to our needs. There's a
profound disconnect between drilling more oil wells as the earth is running out,
as the way to supply an exponential rise in demand. There's a
profound disconnect between efforts to simplify government and accelerate
growth, when the increasingly rapid and complex decision making required by
growth is the core reason for government complexity in the first place.
What we need more than infinite heights is a reliable and sustainable
continuously creative society and life support system. It should be
safe for both investors and the earth. Pursuing our perfect
contradiction to the end is heading us for a very major investment failure.
It's just insane to expect wealth, complexity and the speed of decision-making
needed to keep up to multiply by a factor of 16 every lifetime forever (every 80
yr @ 3 1/2%). I don't think we need to limit individual achievement.
We just need to find and change what makes exponential economic growth a
terminal condition. If you look around nature you find she uses
exponential growth and refines stable systems from it, beautifully and
gracefully all the time. 10/2/05
24 - Using the People
Why Civil Defense went out of
fashion included the stupidity of protecting a society from nuclear war with
shelters, as if we could all hide until the radiation decayed and come out to
find anything working at all. Now emergency preparedness has become
a service by heavily equipped professionals serving an uninformed and unprepared
public. If people were more involved some of the more obvious errors in
the plans would be caught and the community networks would be able to provide
essential communication and resources when the other systems break down.
We should require tax payers to have a basic familiarity with
local emergency plans. Providing some simple brochure and QA match test on
tax returns would do it. Because the first line of defense is people
taking care of themselves, treat serving as a local emergency preparedness
contact something like jury duty, maybe an exemption too. 10/1/09
23 - Using the Pros
The
Republicans have complained bitterly about government incompetence and
inefficiency and it's time we did something about it. The
destruction of New Orleans by government incompetence sure points out the need
to fix the chronic illogic, inefficiency and corruption of government plans.
In much of the world the problem is financial corruption, for us it's
institutional corruption, politics as usual.
What we need is to do is 1) redesign all
the bureaucracies to compete within themselves for excellence, and 2) require
politicians to go through training by their career professional staffs and
3) protect the staffs from the politicians for speaking out.
4) We should allow the professionals a 'veto' for
incompetent legislation, like slashing critical infrastructure, or increased
spending with measurably declining or negative returns. We should
have a minimum two week cooling off period between submitting legislation
and the vote. Senior professional staff, given tenure to protect them from
reprisals, could make an assessment based on performance measures. A web
based comment process could gage the professional consensus. Then we
could add to a politician's record his support for competent or incompetent
policies. ~9/1/05, 9/29/05
22 -
Faith Ed
If we can have
sex education in schools, can't we have faith & culture education in schools
too. I bet we could figure out how to do that legally and make a great
contribution to public schooling. Our communities really just don't know each
other very well and ending prejudice and hatred really requires that they do.
The Christian Right's idea of how to bring religion into the schools is a
disaster, of course. The need and opportunity are to honor everyone by
learning about who they really are, especially those you disagree with. The
Right's purpose is almost the opposite and I suppose you'd expect vigorous
opposition. 7/1/05
21 - Marketing Security
I
think we
should raise the bar for Social Security. The problem is bigger than is being
talked about. Globalization is driving down the standards of employee security
generally. We could bias the market to raise employment standards world-wide
instead. You'd start simple and be fair, but tax businesses and set tariffs
according to the "value not added" by businesses who avoid their legitimate
responsibility for the security of their employees and their environments. Then
those businesses and countries with good pension plans & environmental policy wouldn't
have to pay to play. What other's pay we can surely use to partly compensate for
the harm their negligence does. 6/10/05, 10/2/05
20 - Costs of Science
America has been the
world center of scientific research and teaching, but that requires an
open door to students, free association with foreigners and funding for
basic research. Homeland security, as a permanent diversion
anyway, undermines all three. Fortress America simply will
not prosper in a global economy. Wouldn't it be a cheaper
response to terror to figure out how to not make enemies?
~6/10/05
19 - The courts
The battle over the
courts is intense, but the debate almost never mentions what issues of law
are at stake. Focusing on the battle for its own sake is
exciting but is a losing tactic because liberals are outnumbered and complaints don't persuade
anyone of anything. We need to talk about the real national issues,
what kind of courts we want. Do we want courts where judges make
decisions based on unbiased and consistent legal principles, or on their current
political bias. I think conservative principles are something
you can discuss on the merits, but that's not what the present crop of judicial
nominees are noted for. They're noted for abandoning principle and
following the guidance of their hot button issues. That kind
of law is profoundly dangerous to our society. ~6/10/05
18 - Fighting Evil
If the Supreme
Court was stacked
with right wing conservatives would they rule that fighting what you believe is evil and self-defense equally justify the use of deadly force? The
new right, both Christian and Muslim, have very extreme and clear ideas about
what is evil, but maybe even they would see something wrong to consider whether
believing your actions are licensed by God should give you a court recognized
civil right to murder. 5/4/05
17 - Shrinking Government
Actually reducing
the need for
government is what shrinks
government, not promoting or repressing one side or the other of
escalating battles between warring interests. For example,
we could probably cut government
in half if we just learned how not to make so many
enemies at home and abroad, by just learning how to be insightful about
other people's needs. The Republican
strategy for reducing
government, trying to strangle it with tax cuts rather than simplify it
on the merits, only breeds complications. We should mine
the great teachings, of Christ, of
Buddha, of all the others, for practical guidance for how people
can get along, locally, globally. That's why we need a
Department of Peace, for sound, productive, strategic planning. 4/29/05
16 - Design
A lot of architects
and planners
produce
junk and much great design looks like junk to half the
world. Still there are great buildings, streets, cities and
regions that we all know and love, and some are not
accidental. We should ALWAYS be looking for the
opportunity to do something wonderful. Much too much land
use planning is just a private interest rip-off with no larger
benefit. We're going to be living her for hundreds,
thousands, even millions of years and we should make our place
livable. What we do changes the world we live
in. What we do matters. 4/29/05
15 - Heroes
Those who profit
from controlling
market forces owe a special debt to the society underlying the
market. Their sometimes huge wealth actually derives from natural
social forces very largely beyond their responsibility and control.
For those who don't choose to follow the tradition of
creatively giving it away there's the progressive tax. A
free people simply has no need for a purely self-serving aristocracy.
We have plenty of opportunity for self-made wealth and
individual heroes to fill our stories.
14 - Simple Truth
A
complicated
puzzle like Social
Security sometimes benefits from the simple truth.
The demographic problem is solved only if we all take more
responsibility for our own retirements (otherwise the government
eventually goes broke). That means increasing our
savings. What will solve the future shortfall
honestly is having increased withholdings put into a choice of
limited risk personal accounts. Bush's plan is just
ineffectual smoke and mirrors, having government give away borrowed
money while cutting future payments by about the same
amount.
Withholding
might be increased 1% a decade,
until the target level of assured savings was
reached. That's not a tax increase, that's living
with nature. Withholding for the insurance part of the plan,
traditional Social Security, could remain much the same as it
is. There's one more value judgment to
make. If the income to the insurance part of
the system keeps up with inflation in prices but not (as seems likely)
with the greater expected rise in wages, do we accept the relative
decline in payouts 40 years from now. We could say
yes or no, or discuss that again in 20 years when the issues would be
clearer...
13
- Where We're Headed
We're in the midst
of a wealth
& knowledge explosion spanning many lifetimes, felt intensely in
the past few decades. If you look at history you find that we've
been following much the same exponential growth trajectory since the
1500's. It's humanity's one big play at remaking the
earth. Are we building a better permanent place to
live? Or are we stuck on a merry-go-round of
accelerated resource consumption with no end but leaving the earth
exhausted? Quantitative growth is a dead end so what
we really should be doing is switching to qualitative
growth. You can see it happening. There
are the trends in protecting human rights and the environment, giving
people education and freedom, for example. In
conflict are the huge scale of unsustainable development based on
fossil fuels, our slavery to continually outperforming ourselves, a
growth machine satisfied only by repeated doubling. Maybe
we don't know how yet, but we still need to tame the beast we're riding
on. 3/5/05
12 - Who represents Iraq?
We attack
the insurgents and they
multiply. We're not just attacking insurgents.
In our madness we're attacking an integral part of the nation of
Iraq. There's just no end to it,
except to
make the political discourse
inclusive. We should keep the elections
local until the insurgents are somehow part of the conversation. It's the obvious fair and remotely feasible
thing to do. Otherwise it seems there'll be no nation at
all. 12/19/04
11 - Real Creation
The
Creationists can't explain the appearance in
the historical record
that life came about through many millions of years evolution without
suggesting that God actually created a world intended to deceive us. That doesn't make sense. Their breathless
point, that science can't explain the appearance of orderly design in
nature, is true enough, but only a distraction. It is actually true
that the great majority of adaptive evolution apparently occurs in all those
strategically located gaps in the fossil record! The fact
that there's a whole lot science can't explain about evolution and other things doesn't change the facts.
The most fundamental design of science is a rather intelligent design for getting things
right. Science is evidence searching for a theories.
Biblical theory is just the opposite. 12/19/04, 10/2/05
10 - Ideally
The ideal is Michaelangelo's
statue of David
trapped inside a formless block of marble.
The real is each chip of stone removed by
Michaelangelo's hammer.
Without
the ideal, there's no guiding purpose and reward behind all the menial
labor required.
Ideally we'd make a place
in the
conversation for those who hate us, without trading
insults. There's actually no other way to win the war on
terror.
Ideally we'd get rid of
our own
weapons of mass destruction. They are all morally
illegitimate and quite useless to us.
Ideally government would
not pass
laws on morality, or insult the morals of individuals
either.
Ideally science and not
politics
would guide economic policy. We asked for and got better
weather forecasts, now we need better world models. (12/12/04)
9 - Keep Killing People We Don't
Understand?
Listening to ON POINT tonight,
on why we
haven't been attacked since 9/11, I was astounded by the central fact
everyone seem completely unaware of.
The threat to us comes
from the
threat by us to the terrorists and their communities.
We just don't know and don't ask why we're a threat to them, or
whether there is anything we could do about it. Solving
that riddle, and eliminating our enemies by making some kind of peace
with them, is in fact the only possible way to genuinely defeat
terrorism.
Which do you want, a world
where we live up
to our own principles, or one where we live in fear and spend all our
wealth killing people we don't understand? -- (12/1/04)
8
Honestly! - Earn
the Peace, Do
Right at Home
In the long term there's no
peace if the Muslim Fundamentalists can't tolerate us, and no
time like the present to start making that change. We can't
ignore immediate violent threats, but that's short term, and has in
fact
been multiplying the threats. We can't ignore that the majority
of Muslims are not terrorists or supporters. They would probably
appreciate our being more respectful too.
At home George Bush has an infinite debt plan
for the future, as if we're just too rich to bother paying for
anything.
America's
true conservatives need to take responsibility for the long term health
of the economy, government and environment, facing our dilemmas with
solid evidence and reason, provide sound and sane basic social
security, and
health care for all. 11/30/04
7
Clear about Values - 11/24/04
- Clarity - We
need to take more idealistic stands that won't be misunderstood.
We suffer from 30 years of conservative distortion, a changed world and
a lack of visionary leaders. We need far reaching ideas to make
it clear who we are, attract new leaders and serve as an organizing
focus for the next 40 years.
- Peace - Defeat the terrorists by making
peace
with the communities they come from. We need fewer enemies.
When you think about it, there's no other way to win the battle.
We have
to stop being the "Great
Satan". Our other choice is to give up our wealth and
freedoms chasing criminals that multiply
as we pursue them, a mean and futile task. Of course there
are various kinds of meaningful constructive engagement. We
could also start by just asking, "What would the Great Satan absolutely
never do" and find in the answer something we could do that would
radically change the climate.
- Taxes - Government ensures the fair
markets and free competition and the
winners get the most benefit.
The rich owe their wealth to having a very protected environment which
made their
talent valuable. The wealth of the very rich
is a product of much larger economic forces than they were really
responsible for, and they are morally obligated to be good stewards
of what they fairly gained but is not really their own. It
doesn't matter that the economy is evolving to value entrepreneurs and
creative flexible talent more highly. It's not the government's
job to pick winners, but to maintain the commons for the use of
everyone.
- Stewardship - Earth's environment needs to
last us another few thousand years, at least, and we're making radical
changes with very long term impact and no plan. Preserving
bio-diversity, wild habitat, clean air and water, and the simple beauty
of the Earth, are absolute requirements. We built most of our
cities and are continuing to expand suburban and xurban sprawl, all
designed for cheap plentiful fuel. That'll soon be over.
Global warming is clearly happening, we just don't know how far the
climates will shift and oceans rise. Our whole civilization will
soon be simply out of date! It makes both economic and practical
sense to prepare for and mitigate the impacts of the changes that are
clearly coming. The question is how to sponsor good design
that would benefit us all in the long run.
- Entitlements - Social security wasn't
designed for people with long retirements
and a non-growing population, but that's what we now have. Making
it worse the Government
has been spending all the reserves. What a
mess. Social
security needs both risk sharing to ensure dignity in retirement, and
risk taking to ensure the value of initiative. It was a mistake
for pensions to not
travel with the worker in the first place! We are going to
construct a fair deal in the long run, but it may be our third or
fourth complete redesign before we find what actually
works.
- Health - Because of science we have the
best healthcare in
history, but the "medical industrial complex" is trying to provide us
immortality, and no one can
afford it. Good health used to be a matter of luck, but now
science has made it a matter of cost, and with insurance someone
else seems to pay. That's why the costs are spiraling
out of control. It'll be a test of our values and
creativity but we must find some fair way to cap the costs and let the
market then work to make better and better healthcare more and more
affordable. This too may take a few redesigns before we
find what works.
- Planning - We need better economic and
environmental science, and to base tax and fiscal policy and planning
for the
future on it.
Today's entitlements, healthcare and debt crises are the planning
mistakes of the past. We should not be taking such bets on
the future wealth and success of the nation based on a president's
notoriously
unreliable hunches, or debts to political cronies. Unfortunately
that's mostly what we
do. We need solid evidence to make sound
decisions. We've done a great job on weather forecasts and
smart weapons, and haven't made similar progress with models of the
economy, policy implications and the Earth's natural systems on which
we rely.
- Speed - The economy is here for the shared
agendas of people, not mankind for the economy's agenda.
A curious oversight of economic theory is that the real speed of change
is proportional to real investment per capita. Investment
means change and change requires adaptation. Increased
adaptation gives us more to do all the time, speed.
Presently investment
per capita is designed to progressively trend to infinity (grow
exponentially)! It's a very sly strategy when things aren't
moving fast enough, but we haven't yet asked what's enough.
It may already be too late if you think we're already changing too fast
to avoid making big mistakes. Sometimes, nearly always, you
get a lot further if you're not is such a hurry.
6
Government is for protecting
freedoms, essential services and mutual help.
We should pass the laws we want and pay for what we pass, fairly
sharing the burden. The trick in a
divided nation is to make policy transparent and respect both sides,
not following hidden agendas cloaked in code. Too much of
government policy serves interests other than those of its
supporters. With honest policy based on evidence we would all
agree on much more. Government is not for running our lives, or
for sabotage.
It's for leveling the playing field, providing civil & criminal
law, police, security, civil rights, education, environmental
protection & public health, copy rights & patents, economic
stability & fair markets, etc. It's for foreign relations,
national defense, international aid and leadership. Its for
sharing some risks, insuring basic child welfare, healthcare, &
retirement. Its
for investing in our future, zoning, planning, science & resource
management. 11/14/04
5 Carl Rove said today on Fox that
the clear choice of the conservatives for reserving the term 'marriage'
for the special, usually family raising, relationship between a man and
a woman should not get in the way of making way of fully equal civil
unions of
others, only without the name. It looks to me as
if
in loosing the battle progressives won the war. Is there any
great loss in
granting the strong preference of conservatives to reserve the term
'marriage' for
the traditional relationship? It does remain to do the
work of revising statutes, which will take work & time, but the
deal seems
almost settled. 11/07/04
4 The
future is coming, faster and faster. Rising costs of
healthcare
and social security, the inevitable long term inflation in energy
costs, global warming, and economic globalization and its
pressure on US wages all urgently need to be addressed. The
leading
proposals for response are nearly all unfortunately half hearted or
unfundable.
Making good choices requires us all to share a long term
vision.
What we need is a periodic
National Teach-In On The Future, say, every four years in the summer
before
the mid-term elections. Much good science is available and
much is needed. A combination of federal sponsorship and
private funding could produce something really
useful. Then candidates and the public could then
have actually meaningful debate and successfully
navigate the future. 11/07/04
3
The great
mystery of Saddam Hussein is
that he disarmed after the original round of inspectors had left,
and
that he refused to prove it even though it meant being
invaded.
Apparently he was too proud, and resented our
asking. Nearly everybody thought he had active WMD programs, we
just had no evidence for it. The real point is we totally
misread the man, like him or not, and should treat other situations
involving
Iraqis with special respect, fearing the same mistake.
Perhaps other things they tell us are similarly
disguised. Can we tell where and why there is
active support for the resistance? Can we tell who would
effectively represent Iraqi interests? Do we know what
assurances should be given to win wider support? Clearly
if we
found the secret of how to be trusted it would save us hugely in
wealth,
lives and ultimate honor. 11/07/04
2
I
can't explain why John Kerry let his idea of "global test" be defined
by his
opponents as asking permission from other nations. It seems
very
obvious to me that a 'global test' is when WE look at a policy
globally, i.e. give it a fair hearing from all sides, instead of just
milking prejudice the way Bush evaluates
policy.
Before the war President Bush clearly spent his effort whipping up a
war fever, not looking for the facts, and made his choice in the heat
of the
moment. We can't know everything, of course, and have
to use gut feelings in the end, just not blind faith. Had we
spent our effort trying
to be sure there was a threat and that there was no other choice but
invasion, we'd have been better served. Had we done that we
wouldn't have been so widely opposed, and would have both more Western
and Arab support, even within Iraq. That would make a big
difference now. 11/07/04
1
One of
the great secrets of America's
success is that we've had the ability to get out of loosing games
by
changing the rules, switching from competing in manufacturing to
information technology for example. Information technology is
unfortunately
mobile
and readily exported though. It carries the seeds of its
inventor's
demise. It's been only 20 years and we need to change tracks
again!
I
think what we do well and need to rely on for the long run is
winning the
battle for content. The formula is to work without a
formula, being
the creative source, with high production values.
That's why
we have deserved the wealth we've earned and how we'll maintain and
deserve
our wealth and privileged place
in the future. 11/07/04
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